On "Solutions" to the Ecological Inference Problem

On "Solutions" to the Ecological Inference Problem

Report Number
515
Authors
Leo Breiman
Citation
Electronic Journal of Probability</em>, Vol. 5 (2000) Paper no. 2, pages 1-18
Abstract

In his 1997 book, King announced "A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem". This paper tests King's method on data sets where truth is known. His announcement is premature. In the test data, his method produces results that are far from truth, and diagnostics are unreliable. Ecological regression makes estimates that are similar to King's, while the neighborhood model is much more accurate.

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