What do we know about how to make good predictions?

Neyman Seminar
Neyman Seminar
Sep 11, 2019 4:00pm to 5:00pm
1011 Evans Hall
Happening As Scheduled
Everyone makes bets. Scientists bet years of their lives on research agendas, CEO’s bet billions of dollars on new products, and world leaders bet our welfare through their policies. Their decisions often hinge on implicit judgement based predictions about relatively one-off events rather than on data. We’ll review the most promising existing techniques for improving one’s predictions. I’ll...
Danny Hernandez, OpenAI